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Old 22nd July 2009, 01:52 AM   #9
fearn
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Join Date: Dec 2004
Posts: 1,247
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Hi Jim,

I'd ask: better blade for what?

I think we're going to see some interesting new metal and metal glass pocket knives. We might see some sort of "magic machete" as Bruce Sterling suggest (basically, a super-sharp ceramic machete that was mass-produced).

Thing is, even a light saber or a variable knife aren't as fast as your basic 9 mm pistol, and they're nowhere near as destructive as an AK-47. I doubt we'll see swords come back into warfare anytime soon, except for a few, exotic applications.

On the other hand, there's a huge number of uses for tools and tool/weapons, and that's where I think we're going to see some neat developments.

As for materials, I'm waiting to see metal glasses go mainstream. These are basically super-sharp steel, version 17 (or whatever). Same story, different day. I'd also predict some interesting composites based on metallic recreations of shells and teeth-type biocomposites (basically, if you can make a hard tooth out of calcium carbonate by fiddling with the structure of the molecules, what could you do with steel?).

I'd also expect (perhaps!) the equivalent of a smart knife, not a weapon necessarily, but a mobile swiss army knife equivalent that could cut while you held, and could consult on how to solve a particular tool use problem. I can think of a number of situations where having the knife do the cutting would have been really useful.

I'd love to see a variable knife, but I think that goofy katana-ish thing that Sulu was using in the new Star Trek movie is vaguely more probable.

For collectors, what I think is interesting is how the idea of "genuine" has changed. Now days, "genuine" blades come with provenance, ID tags, numbered sets, and so forth--even websites, collector's clubs, and a materials list so that they can get past CITES inspectors. We still have ethnographic weapons, but rather than marking them with tribal designs and natural materials, we put all these data markers on them, and associate them with a cloud of data points talking about what they are and where they've been. If you step back and think about it from the perspective of history, that's about as bizarre a cultural development as some of those 10 weirdest blades we talked about.

My 0.000002 cents,

F

Last edited by fearn; 22nd July 2009 at 06:16 AM.
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